2019 National League MVP Betting Odds

The National League MVP race is absolutely wide open. Last season, the best player in the National League by WAR was Jacob deGrom who won the Cy Young. The MVP was Christian Yelich who was the best among the hitters, but in WAR he wasn’t even close to deGrom. This is a good thing. It seems like the shift has happened and we can just throw out all the pitcher odds. This is a hitter’s award now because if you were ever going to give it to a pitcher, last year was the year.

Note: All tips based on the starters mentioned at the time of this writing. If there is a late switch or the starter is wrong, please consider the tip null and void.

Bryce Harper is now a Philadelphia Phillie (Philly?) and he is the closest thing that we have to a favorite here. I don’t really see that as that is a bit too much of a storybook ending and not really in line with his stats the past couple of seasons. I am looking more towards his teammate Rhys Hoskins who could really benefit from having that bat in the lineup.

It surprises me a bit to see Christian Yelich’s odds so low for the repeat. He made huge leaps forward last season and he’ll still be just 27 this year. Repeating is hard, but I wouldn’t sleep on him.

One of the big stories of the offseason was that the Reds might actually be good now? There is one guy on their team who deserves discussion for this award every season and that guy is Joey Votto. He’s led the league in OBP the last three seasons and with some better teammates, maybe he can knock in a few more runs and get a few more homeruns. He’s better than +3000 to +4000, that’s for sure.

Paul Goldschmidt moves to St. Louis this season and that has boosted his odds a bit here. I don’t see it. For a first baseman, I prefer Freddie Freeman. For a Cardinal, I prefer not to bet any Cardinals.

2019 MLB Futures

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Of course, Freeman isn’t even my favorite Brave. My favorite Brave and favorite sleeper is Ronald Acuna. He had a .917 OPS in a 111 games last season as a 20-year old. Think about that. He’s only going to get better and will be playing a full season here.

Another guy who is young and impressive is 20-year old Juan Soto. He had a .923 OPS in 116 games last season. I actually like one of his teammates a bit better.

Anthony Rendon is always solid and he might be my favorite play out of the third baseman. Kris Bryant and Manny Machado are better, but Rendon is going to be a big part of this team that I think will be better than most think and he’s in a contract year. Rendon will be .300/.400/.500 and a jump in homeruns could do a ton for him.

Full odds are below:

(5Dimes odds were not available as of this writing. Will update later when they become available.)

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PlayerBovadaSports Interaction888Sport
Bryce Harper+600+4005.0
Nolan Arenado+700+7009.0
Paul Goldschmidt+1000+100013.0
Kris Bryant+1100+120017.0
Manny Machado+1600+160015.0
Christian Yelich+1800+160021.0
Freddie Freeman+2000+160019.0
Eugenio Suarez+2000+160029.0
Anthony Rizzo+2500+200029.0
Rhys Hoskins+2500+200021.0
Javier Baez+2000+200034.0
Anthony Rendon+2500+200026.0
Cody Bellinger+2500+250029.0
Ronald Acuna Jr.+2000+250029.0
Corey Seager+2500+400023.0
Justin Turner+3000+250034.0
Joey Votto+3000+400034.0
Juan Soto+3000+500034.0
Trevor Story+2500+330034.0
Marcell Ozuna+4000+2500101.0
Yasiel Puig+4000+330067.0
Charlie Blackmon+4000+330041.0
Eric Hosmer+4000+4000151.0
Jesus Aguilar+4000+4000101.0
Robinson Cano+4000+4000151.0
Josh Donaldson+4000+500051.0
J.T. Realmuto+4000+400041.0
Wil Myers+5000+5000101.0
Starling Marte+5000+5000151.0
Max Muncy+5000+500081.0
Matt Carpenter+5000+500067.0
Max Scherzer+5000101.0
Trea Turner+6000+500023.0
Ozzie Albies+6000101.0
Jacob deGrom+10000101.0
Lorenzo Cain+500081.0
Andrew McCutchen+660067.0
Michael Conforto51.0
Daniel Murphy81.0
Buster Posey81.0
A.J. Pollock101.0
Brian Anderson126.0
Scooter Gennett126.0
Yasmani Grandal126.0
Jed Lowrie126.0
Mike Moustakas126.0
Travis Shaw126.0
Brandon Belt151.0
Ryan Braun151.0
Brandon Crawford151.0
Paul DeJong151.0
Adam Eaton151.0
Jake Lamb151.0
Evan Longoria151.0
Ketel Marte151.0
David Peralta151.0
Victor Robles151.0
Kyle Schwarber151.0
Jean Segura151.0
Walker Buehler251.0
Starlin Castro251.0
Willson Contreras251.0
Corey Dickerson251.0
Brian Dozier251.0
Eduardo Escobar251.0
Wilmer Flores251.0
Ender Inciarte251.0
Clayton Kershaw251.0
Nick Markakis251.0
Yadier Molina251.0
Brandon Nimmo251.0
Aaron Nola251.0
Nick Senzel251.0
Noah Syndergaard251.0

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2019 American League MVP Betting Odds

The American League MVP award is one that’s really not a whole lot of fun to bet on. You have Mike Trout, the clear best player in the game, and then you have everyone else. The last two seasons have seen Trout miss time with injury, but without such an injury he probably could’ve won last year.

Note: All tips based on the starters mentioned at the time of this writing. If there is a late switch or the starter is wrong, please consider the tip null and void.

Or maybe not because Mookie Betts had one heck of a season. He finished with 10.9 WAR, but a lot of that was made up in defense. On pure Offensive WAR, Trout was better. Regardless, you can bet on these two and maybe make a little money (Trout is at just +150 to +200), or you can make a risky play for someone else. There isn’t really a great strategy here.

If there was, I’d say it’s to go with Yankees or Astros. These are in all likelihood going to be the two best teams in the American League this season and they will both get some huge performances from their star players. Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Gary Sanchez are the best plays in New York while Carlos Correa, Alex Bregman and George Springer are the top plays in Houston.

2019 MLB Futures

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I guess we could make a good argument for the Cleveland twosome of Jose Ramirez and Francisco Lindor as well. Last season these two were tied for fourth among all batters with 7.9 WAR. They will once again be on a good team and they will once again be playing in a division where the pitching is thin.

It’s hard to do in a league with Trout and Betts though. Just like it’s hard to event think about sleepers in this category. If we figure the Red Sox, Indians, Yankees and Astros are locked in for the playoffs, that just leaves us one Wild Card team. Who do you like best? Athletics, Rays, Angels or Twins? After that it gets pretty ugly so let’s look at each team.

  • Angels: Trout, duh.
  • Athletics: Matt Chapman had the defensive year last year that nearly got him in this conversation. A slight bump on offense and maybe? I think I might prefer Matt Olson though.
  • Rays: This team is far more a sum is greater than their parts kind of team, but Tommy Pham is intriguing. Had some injury woes last year, but really excelled after the trade to Tampa. Hit .306/.411/.520 in 2017.
  • Twins: This isn’t going to happen, but if it does… Byron Buxton? I believe!

It’s most likely going to be Trout though.

Full odds are below:

(5Dimes odds weren’t up as of this writing. I will update if they become available.)

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PlayerBovadaSports Interaction888Sport
Mike Trout+150+2002.8
Mookie Betts+550+5007.0
Aaron Judge+700+120011.0
Alex Bregman+1300+120011.0
Jose Ramirez+1500+200017.0
Jose Altuve+2500+200023.0
Francisco Lindor+2000+200019.0
Carlos Correa+2000+200026.0
Giancarlo Stanton+2500+200026.0
J.D. Martinez+3000+200013.0
George Springer+4500+330051.0
Khris Davis+4000+200041.0
Gary Sanchez+5000+330051.0
Jose Abreu+5000+250081.0
Nomar Mazara+5000126.0
Nick Castellanos+5000+3300101.0
Matt Olson+5000+330041.0
Eddie Rosario+5000+3300151.0
Matt Chapman+4000+400034.0
Andrew Benintendi+4500+330051.0
Nelson Cruz+6000+400051.0
Joey Gallo+6000+400067.0
Randal Grichuk+6600+5000126.0
Xander Bogaerts+5500+500067.0
Gleyber Torres+6000+400081.0
Justin Smoak+6600101.0
Miguel Andujar+6600101.0
Justin Upton+10000101.0
Rougned Odor+10000101.0
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.+10000
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.+1000067.0
Miguel Cabrera+10000101.0
Whit Merrifield+10000101.0
Jackie Bradley Jr.101.0
Michael Brantley101.0
Mitch Haniger101.0
Eloy Jimenez101.0
Corey Kluber101.0
Chris Sale101.0
Andrelton Simmons101.0
Edwin Encarnacion126.0
Aaron Hicks126.0
Kevin Kiermaier126.0
Yoan Moncada126.0
Adalberto Mondesi126.0
Tommy Pham126.0
Byron Buxton151.0
C.J. Cron151.0
Rafael Devers151.0
Max Kepler151.0
Shohei Ohtani151.0
Jurickson Profar151.0
Carlos Santana151.0
Luis Severino201.0
Justin Verlander251.0
Carlos Carrasco251.0
Gerrit Cole251.0
Zack Cozart.251.0
Ramon Laureano251.0
Trey Mancini251.0
James Paxton251.0
Stephen Piscotty251.0
Albert Pujols251.0
Miguel Sano251.0
Kyle Seager251.0
Marcus Semien251.0
Mallex Smith251.0
Blake Snell251.0

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2019 AL Cy Young Betting Odds

The 2019 American League Cy Young betting odds have been released and the odds are pretty interesting. Last year’s winner Blake Snell finds himself down the list with odds from +1200 to +2500 while the presumptive favorite is Corey Kluber who will be 33 this season. He’s definitely still one of the best pitchers in this league, but he did take a step back in some ways last season.

Note: All tips based on the starters mentioned at the time of this writing. If there is a late switch or the starter is wrong, please consider the tip null and void.

Chris Sale is interesting here as well. He seemingly had it locked up in 2017 before Corey Kluber finished strong and snaked it from him. Then last year he had the best numbers of any pitcher in the American League, but he only ended up with 158.1 innings due to injuries. This guy is beyond due for one of these.

Luis Severino definitely has the talent, but I’m not sure you could pay me to bet him to win this. He’s such a Jekyll/Hyde pitcher. Last season he had a 2.31 ERA in the first half and a 5.57 ERA in the second half. His teammate James Paxton has great odds and I’ve always loved his stuff, but his career high is 160 innings pitched. He’s going to get injured at some point, it’s just what he does.

One name that is popping out to me is Gerrit Cole. This guy had a 2.88 ERA/2.70 FIP last season with a league leading 12.4 K/9. This will be his second year in the AL with the Astros so there is a chance he gets even more comfortable this year. Great value at +1200 to +2500.

2019 MLB Futures

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The Indians pitchers are all interesting as well. Besides Kluber, you have Carlos Carrasco at +1400 and Trevor Bauer at +1200 at Bovada. Both of these guys have the stuff and the numbers, they just need to put it all together one season. The good news for them is that they play in the AL Central which should once again be the worst division in baseball. Shane Bieber might even be a good bet, but I don’t think he’s anywhere near as talented as his teammates.

When Blake Snell won last year his preseason odds were +13500 (!). You are a genius if you picked that. Looking in that range and it’s hard to find someone that looks good. Yusei Kikuchi? Reynaldo Lopez? Tyler Glasnow? Your guess is as good as mine.

Follow odds are below:

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Player5DimesBovadaSports Interaction888Sport
Corey Kluber+380+375+3504.8
Chris Sale+450+450+3004.3
Luis Severino+800+800+6009.0
Justin Verlander+1500+1400+140013.0
Carlos Carrasco+1600+1400+140015.0
Blake Snell+1800+1200+250017.0
Gerrit Cole+1800+1200+140013.0
Trevor Bauer+1800+1200+250017.0
David Price+2000+1800+250026.0
James Paxton+2200+1800+140023.0
Jose Berrios+3000+2500+250029.0
Masahiro Tanaka+3000+2500+250051.0
Rick Porcello+4000+3000+400051.0
J.A. Happ+5000+4000+330041.0
Nathan Eovaldi+5000+4000+330051.0
Andrew Heaney+6000+5000+500067.0
Charlie Morton+6000+5000+400051.0
Kyle Gibson+6000+5000+400081.0
Marco Gonzales+6000+5000+6600
Mike Clevinger+6000+5000+500051.0
Danny Duffy+7000+6000+500081.0
Eduardo Rodriguez+7000+5000+500081.0
Michael Fulmer+7000+6000+660067.0
Marcus Stroman+8000+5000+660067.0
Collin McHugh+10000+6600101.0
Jakob Junis+1000081.0
Mike Leake+10000+8000101.0
Mike Minor+10000101.0
Shane Bieber+1000041.0
Tyler Glasnow+10000101.0
Tyler Skaggs+1000081.0
Aaron Sanchez+12500126.0
Alex Cobb+12500+10000151.0
Brad Keller+12500
Carlos Rodon+12500151.0
Dylan Bundy+12500+10000201.0
Jake Odorizzi+12500151.0
Jesus Luzardo+12500101.0
Matthew Boyd+12500
Mike Fiers+12500151.0
Reynaldo Lopez+12500
Wade Miley+12500+10000
Yusei Kikuchi+12500101.0
Brent Honeywell+25000151.0
Daniel Mengden+25000
Ervin Santana+25000
Ivan Nova+25000+10000201.0
Justus Sheffield+25000251.0
Lucas Giolito+25000
Ryan Yarbrough+25000
Yonny Chirinos+25000
Aroldis Chapman+30000151.0
Felix Hernandez+30000251.0
Blake Treinen+35000151.0
Lance Lynn+35000
Brad Hand251.0
Martin Perez251.0
Roberto Osuna251.0
Dellin Betances251.0

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2019 National League Cy Young Betting Odds

The 2019 NL Cy Young Odds are now out. In 2018, Jacob deGrom absolutely dominated the season with a 1.70 ERA/1.99 FIP. He only finished with ten wins which is encouraging as that stat has very little to do with the pitcher himself. The media recognizing the best pitcher outside of that stat is great. I looked back at the 2018 NL Cy Young odds and I didn’t even mention him in my write-up. Whoops.

Note: All tips based on the starters mentioned at the time of this writing. If there is a late switch or the starter is wrong, please consider the tip null and void.

One guy that I did like last season was Max Scherzer and the books like him quite a bit too as he is once again the favorite here this season. In fact, his odds are so low that I can’t really justify a bet on him. There are just too many variables with pitchers to take one at 3-to-1.

You could say the same about Jacob deGrom as well. It’s hard to repeat this award in this league and there are some serious contenders in the National League this year. His teammate Noah Syndergaard at +1400 is a nice value. He is always at the top of the strikeouts list and the issue with him is just staying healthy. If he can, this is a great bet.

My favorite sleeper might be German Marquez at +5000. This is a huge risk as he’s a Coors Field guy, but I think there is enough stats out there to make people understand the effect of this park. Plus, it didn’t seem to matter last season. His last three months of the season saw him pitch 113 innings and post this line: 2.47 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and 33% strikeout rate with a 5% walk rate. This line wasn’t just smoke and mirrors as he started relying more and more on his slider and that pitch was basically unhittable. A risk with Coors and his first half numbers, but one that would pay off big if it hits.

2019 MLB Futures

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His teammate Kyle Freeland actually has better odds that him which doesn’t make sense to me. Last year he had a 2.85 ERA/3.67 FIP/4.22 xFIP with just 7.7 K/9. It’s good, but that line had a lot of good luck built in and he’s not as dominant as you usually see from a Cy Young award winner.

This feels like a year for a fresh face to win this award. Walker Buehler could be that guy at +2500. He had a 2.62 ERA/3.04 FIP last year with 9.9 K/9. Jack Flaherty could be that guy if he can take that 10.85 K/9 and get the walks down. Jimmy Nelson could be that guy and you can’t even get odds on him right now.

Full odds are below:

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Name5DimesBovadaSports Interaction888 Sport
Max Scherzer+300+250+3003.6
Jacob deGrom+400+400+3504.5
Aaron Nola+900+700+9008.5
Clayton Kershaw+1200+1200+90017.0
Noah Syndergaard+1500+1400+120017.0
Walker Buehler+2500+1400+180019.0
Jack Flaherty+3300+2000+330041.0
Kyle Freeland+2500+2000+2000101.0
Madison Bumgarner+2500+2500+200067.0
Patrick Corbin+2500+2500+180021.0
Miles Mikolas+4000+3000+400041.0
Stephen Strasburg+3000+3000+250034.0
Zack Greinke+3000+3000+250034.0
Chris Archer+5000+4000+330034.0
Jameson Taillon+6600+4000+660041.0
Jon Lester+5000+4500+330081.0
Kyle Hendricks+6000+4500+400041.0
German Marquez+5000+5000+330034.0
Mike Foltynewicz+6000+5000+500067.0
Robbie Ray+6000+5000+400041.0
Zack Wheeler+5000+5000+500041.0
Cole Hamels+7000+6000+6600
Rich Hill+8000+6000+250067.0
Jose Quintana+6600+6600+660051.0
Alex Reyes+3300126.0
Alex Wood+12500+800081.0
Andrew Suarez+25000
Anthony DeSclafani+12500151.0
Carlos Martinez+25000101.0
Chris Paddack126.0
Corey Knebel251.0
Edwin Diaz+35000251.0
Felipe Vazquez251.0
Hyun-Jin Ryu+12500151.0
Jake Arrieta+9000+6600101.0
Jimmy Nelson151.0
Jhoulys Chacin+12500+8000151.0
Joe Musgrove+11000126.0
Joey Lucchesi+10000126.0
Jon Gray+12500101.0
Jose Urena+25000
Josh Hader+25000251.0
Julio Teheran+12500251.0
Kenley Jansen+30000251.0
Kenta Maeda+25000101.0
Kevin Gausman+35000251.0
Luis Castillo+10000101.0
Mike Soroka101.0
Michael Wacha+12500151.0
Nick Pivetta+10000101.0
Robbie Erlin+25000251.0
Ross Stripling67.0
Sean Doolittle251.0
Sean Newcomb+10000+8000101.0
Sonny Gray+12500+8000101.0
Steven Matz+10000151.0
Tanner Roark+25000251.0
Tyler Anderson+12500151.0
Vince Velasquez+22000251.0
Yu Darvish+1000067.0
Zach Davies+12500+8000151.0
Zach Eflin+25000+8000251.0
Zack Godley+12500101.0

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2019 MLB Win Totals Betting Odds

The season is creeping up on us and Bryce Harper and Manny Machado have finally (FINALLY) (FINALLY!) signed their contracts with their new teams. I figured now would be a good time to take a look at the 2019 MLB Win Totals.

The teams atop the win totals shouldn’t surprise us as the New York Yankees and Houston Astros each sit atop the list with a win total of 96.5. Both of these teams made moves to improve their roster and should once again be very good. The projection systems see these as two possible over bets, especially the Yankees.

Note: All tips based on the starters mentioned at the time of this writing. If there is a late switch or the starter is wrong, please consider the tip null and void.

I’m interested to see how James Paxton does in New York. He was one of my favorite pitchers last season and if he’s anything close to what he’s shown in the past, the Yankees could somehow be even more dangerous. They already have that killer bullpen and adding a #1 starter to that will be scary.

While the Astros added another bat to the lineup in Michael Brantley. He’s been a very underrated hitter when healthy and he should fit in nicely here. A question with this team might be how they handle the loss of Dallas Keuchel (still unsigned as of this writing), but their rotation was so stacked that I’m not sure it matters.

Of course, the Red Sox are the defending champs and they are just behind these two at 94.5. Feels like a letdown season for them after the Series win, but I could still see them getting to 95. So much talent.

2019 MLB Futures

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The worst team according to win totals? The Orioles at 59.5. They are the only team in the fifites and one of only three teams below 70. This team is going to be bad, real bad.

The team that everyone will have their eye on this season is the Philadelphia Phillies at 89.5. This was one of the most active teams in baseball as they added Harper, traded for J.T. Realmuto, and sent Carlos Santana away so they could move Rhys Hoskins back to first base. Santana for Harper and adding the best catcher in the game is a pretty good way to get yourself into contention. This team was actually pretty good last season until a second half swoon. I expect them to be right in it, but this line is on the money. Baseball Prospectus has them pegged at 89 wins right now.

A line that really jumped out at me is the Cubs at 89.5, why? I am asumming public money is a big part of this, but this team doesn’t look so hot on paper. They need people to get healthy (Brandon Morrow) and stay healthy (Yu Darvish), which is not a given with the age of some of these guys. I thought they really needed to make a move this offseason, but they said they were “out of money”. Yeah, the team with the billionaire owners and the most loyal fanbase in the game that is also starting their own cable network next season (also known as a license to print money) is broke. Riiiiiiiiight.

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That’s good for the rest of the NL Central though as the Brewers, Reds and Cardinals are all looking like solid over bets. Keeping my eye on Jimmy Nelson for Milwaukee because if he comes back strong this team could be a terror. A top-level starter was the only thing missing from last year’s run.

Arizona has the biggest differential between projections and win total, but it feels like that team has a lot more selling to do between now and the deadline. That total feels like a hedge against what this team looks like in August. They traded Patrick Corbin and let Paul Goldschmidt and A.J. Pollock walk in free agency. You have to think Jake Lamb and Zack Greinke might be next.

The White Sox are similar to me, but in the opposite way as it feels like Eloy Jimenez and Yoan Moncada might be big time contributors this season to push them up.

Cleveland is looking like a solid over bet as the AL Central should be the worst division in the game again. That might be my favorite bet out there with the Reds and Cardinals overs being right there as well.

I put all of the win totals below along with the win projections from both Baseball Prospectus and Fangraphs. I’ve had success in the past by simply going with the ones that were way off base.

Blue Jays767575
Red Sox909594.5
White Sox707074.5

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2019 World Series Championship Betting Odds

Now that all of the offseason moves are mostly done, it’s time to take an updated look at the 2019 World Series odds.

The biggest change has to be the Phillies who went from +1800 to +915 by adding Bryce Harper and J.T. Realmuto. The Yankees also got a huge boost here as the James Paxton move has seemingly moved them to the top.

Other than that, the list is mostly the same with most teams just moving a few hundred either way. The Cubs and Indians got to a better value, but are mostly in the same area that they were when these odds first came out.

Complete World Series 2019 odds as of March 8th, 2019:

MLB World Series Odds
New York Yankees  +600
Boston Red Sox  +650
Houston Astros  +650
Los Angeles Dodgers  +815
Philadelphia Phillies  +950
Cleveland Indians  +1300
Chicago Cubs  +1350
St. Louis Cardinals  +1500
Washington Nationals  +1500
Milwaukee Brewers  +1725
Atlanta Braves  +2350
New York Mets  +2500
Colorado Rockies  +2800
Oakland Athletics  +3400
Los Angeles Angels  +5000
Tampa Bay Rays  +5000
Minnesota Twins  +5250
Cincinnati Reds  +10000
Pittsburgh Pirates  +10000
San Diego Padres  +10000
Toronto Blue Jays  +10000
San Francisco Giants  +12500
Arizona Diamondbacks  +13500
Chicago White Sox  +20000
Detroit Tigers  +50000
Miami Marlins  +50000
Seattle Mariners  +50000
Texas Rangers  +50000
Baltimore Orioles  +100000
Kansas City Royals  +100000

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2019 MLB Futures

[menu name=”MLB Futures”]

DATE: November 5th, 2018

The Boston Red Sox won the 2018 World Series after one heck of a season. The playoff run was amazing as they basically beat the other two best teams in the American League (Yankees then Astros) and then beat the Dodgers who were the most talented team in the National League. It was a dominating season and they were fully deserving of the championship, but that was then. The 2018 season is over and while it’s pretty early to do so, the 2019 World Series odds are now out so let’s take a look. Continue reading

2018 National League Cy Young Betting Odds

The National League Cy Young race has been mostly dominated by two men over the past seven years: Clayton Kershaw and Max Scherzer. Kershaw has won three of those awards while Scherzer has won two (and an AL Cy Young). Unsurprisingly, these two are the favorites in 2017 to win the award.

Note: All tips based on the starters mentioned at the time of this writing. If there is a late switch or the starter is wrong, please consider the tip null and void.

Kershaw is the favorite at +175 and why not? This guy is the best pitcher in baseball and if he stays healthy for the full season, he’s probably going to win it Of course, as he gets older and the Dodgers get more creative with the disabled list, that is less and less likely. The past two seasons have seen him held to 149 and 175 innings. If he gets over 200, he should be winning it. That just doesn’t seem like as much of a lock as it once was. That said, you would not be wrong to bet on him here.

Scherzer has been amazing over the past five seasons. Three Cy Young awards, all five seasons over 200 innings, all five seasons over 240 strikeouts and a WHIP below 1.0 in four of the past five seasons. If it wasn’t for Clayton Kershaw, he would be getting a lot more attention as the best pitcher of his generation. You would not be wrong to bet on him here.

Max Scherzer’s teammate Stephen Strasburg is an interesting play at +1500 as it’s a pure health play. If this guy gets over 200 innings, he’s one of the best pitchers on the planet. Unfortunately, he’s only done that once in the past six seasons. Some guys are just injury prone. That seems like Strasburg.

Noah Syndergaard only made seven starts last season, so why is he +650? That is a serious red flag. He’s only entering his age-25 season and if healthy he could lead the league in strikeouts, but that’s a big if. Another health play.

My favorite sleeper is probably Carlos Martinez at +1800. Entering his age-26 season this guy seems poised for a breakout. His strikeouts made a big jump last year while his WHIP dropped. The Cardinals will lean on him heavily and if that defense is improved, he could see his ERA drop a bit too. This seems like a right guy, right time type of situation.

Finally, my deep sleeper is Jake Arrieta at +5000. This guy won the award three seasons ago! While his numbers have dropped across the board, I could see the change of scenery doing him some favors. Philly isn’t a great pitcher’s park, but he’ll be needed to lead that staff and maybe he’ll come up with a great season. The mental aspect of not being playing for a contract and thinking about your future has to affect him in some way this season. Maybe he’ll go nuts?

Probably not though, this is Kershaw or Scherzer’s year.

Complete odds are below.

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2018 National League Cy Young Award Winner Betting Odds

Clayton Kershaw+175
Max Scherzer+225
Noah Syndergaard+650
Stephen Strasburg+1500
Madison Bumgarner+1500
Carlos Martinez+1800
Jacob deGrom+2000
Yu Darvish+2000
Robbie Ray+3000
Jon Lester+3000
Zack Greinke+3000
Jose Quintana+3000
Aaron Nola+4000
Jon Gray+4000
Chase Anderson+5000
Gio Gonzalez+5000
Alex Wood+5000
Johnny Cueto+5000
Jake Arrieta+5000
Kyle Hendricks+5500
Michael Wacha+6600
Julio Teheran+6600
Rich Hill+6600
Kenta Maeda+10000
Adam Wainwright+10000
Matt Harvey+10000
Kenley Jansen+10000

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2018 American League Cy Young Betting Odds

With the season starting up soon, we thought it was time to take a look at the American League Cy Young award winner odds. The American League winner is extremely hard to predict as last year’s winner Corey Kluber was the first two-time winner this award has seen since Pedro Martinez in 1999-2000. Sixteen winners in seventeen years is the definition of parity and picking this year’s winner is no easier than picking the World Series winner.

Of course, that’s why these always have such great odds. Corey Kluber is +250 to repeat this award, Chris Sale (who looked to have this thing locked up in July) is +225. Those are the only two “bad” odds on the board. Everyone else is +600 or better. That’s a good thing in that picking a winner can be very profitable, but also a bad thing in that picking a winner is really hard.

My favorite pick on a pure value basis is James Paxton at +1500. This guy was 12-5 with a 2.96 ERA last season with 156 strikeouts in 136 innings. He would’ve definitely been in the conversation for the award last year if it wasn’t for injury. If this guy can put up this kind of numbers over 200 innings, he would be a top vote getter in the award for sure. If the Mariners have any hope of competing in 2018, they’ll need him to.

Another sleeper pick I like is Jose Berrios at +2500. This guy put up a 3.89 ERA as a 24 year old last season and is only expected to get better. He’s the best pitcher on a young team that has the offense to get him a lot of wins this year. The big issue with him is the walks. He had a 2.8 walks per nine last year which needs to come down for him to compete for this. If he can bring those down, I think he could do something special this year. A big if, but at +2500 what do you expect? The odds are the odds for a reason.

If we’re being honest though, this is a two-man race. If you like Chris Sale, go with Chris Sale. If you like Corey Kluber, go with him. The only other move I could see here is hedging that Kluber bet with Carlos Carrasco. The AL Central is pretty bad this year so those two should have some great games against the Royals and White Sox to really pad the stats. Sometimes, that’s all it takes.

2018 American League Cy Young Award Winner Betting Odds

Chris Sale  +225
Corey Kluber  +250
Carlos Carrasco  +600
Justin Verlander  +800
Luis Severino  +800
James Paxton  +1500
Gerrit Cole  +1800
Dallas Keuchel  +1800
Masahiro Tanaka  +2000
David Price  +2150
Jose Berrios  +2500
Chris Archer  +2800
Aaron Sanchez  +4000
Danny Duffy  +4000
Garrett Richards  +4250
Cole Hamels  +5000
Marcus Stroman  +6000
Trevor Bauer  +6000
Lance McCullers Jr  +7000
Felix Hernandez  +7500
Shohei Ohtani  +8000
Michael Fulmer  +8000
Rick Porcello  +8000
Ervin Santana  +10000
Sonny Gray  +10000
Drew Pomeranz  +10000
Charlie Morton  +10000
Craig Kimbrel  +10000
J.A. Happ  +12500
Blake Snell  +13500
Lucas Giolito  +20000
Sean Manaea  +20000
Dylan Bundy  +30000
Andrew Heaney  +30000
CC Sabathia  +30000
Marco Estrada  +30000
Jordan Zimmermann  +30000
Mike Leake  +30000
Kevin Gausman  +30000
Kendall Graveman  +30000
Jordan Montgomery  +30000
Kyle Gibson  +30000
Jake Odorizzi  +30000
James Shields  +50000

2018 American League MVP Betting Odds

We covered the National League MVP odds earlier, now it’s time to cover the American League MVP. This award was won by Jose Altuve last year who has some stiff competition this year with the National League MVP Giancarlo Stanton moving to the AL as well as the always amazing Mike Trout.

There are a lot of options for this award this year. The Yankees have three guys I could see winning it, the Astros also have three, there are Indians and Red Sox, as well as the best player in baseball, Mike Trout. This award is wide open this year.

Let’s take a look at the complete odds from 5Dimes sportsbook.

American League MVP Odds
Mike Trout  +100
Jose Altuve  +600
Giancarlo Stanton  +1200
Carlos Correa  +1200
Francisco Lindor  +1200
Aaron Judge  +1800
Manny Machado  +2000
Josh Donaldson  +2000
J.D. Martinez  +2000
Mookie Betts  +2500
George Springer  +3000
Gary Sanchez  +3000
Jose Ramirez  +3000
Greg Bird  +4000
Edwin Encarnacion  +4000
Chris Sale  +4000
Robinson Cano  +5000
Brian Dozier  +5000
Nelson Cruz  +5000
Jonathan Schoop  +5000
Miguel Sano  +6000
Jose Abreu  +8000
Matt Olson  +8000
Miguel Cabrera  +8000
Justin Upton  +8000
Khris Davis  +8000
Joey Gallo  +10000
Adam Jones  +10000
Kyle Seager  +10000
Shohei Ohtani  +10000
Alex Bregman  +10000
Avisail Garcia  +10000
Justin Smoak  +10000
Andrew Benintendi  +10000
Xander Bogaerts  +10000
Rougned Odor  +20000
Adrian Beltre  +20000
Elvis Andrus  +20000
Byron Buxton  +20000
Salvador Perez  +30000
Whit Merrifield  +30000
Yoan Moncada  +30000
Nicholas Castellanos  +30000
Kevin Kiermaier  +50000


Mike Trout at even money is probably the smart bet, but what’s the point with those odds? He’s the man, but he’s not invincible. His team isn’t guaranteed to be good this year and he did miss time with injury last season. I love Mike Trout, he is the best player in baseball, but I am skipping this bet.

The odds on Jose Altuve to repeat are nice, but I am more interested in his teammate Carlos Correa at +1200. The former #1 overall pick has been teasing us for years with a breakout and he’s still only 23. I think he would’ve won last year’s award if he would’ve played the whole season and not been injured. He was worth 6.3 WAR in only 109 games last year. A full season wins this award for him.

For the trio of Yankees, give me Gary Sanchez at +3000. There could be a sophomore swoon for Judge and while Stanton definitely has the power, he’s never done it at this level two years in a row. I think he has 40ish homeruns and .900 OPS this year.

Another nice pick is JD Martinez at +2000 for the Red Sox. If you put his 2017 season on one team, that is a MVP caliber season. He should benefit from playing DH every day and he’ll have the opportunity for some big numbers with the Red Sox. Not a bad value.

It’s not a good bet, but my favorite DEEP sleeper is Byron Buxton. He’s an all-world defensive player and last year during the second half he put up a .347/.546/.893 line with 13 steals and 11 homeruns. That’s Mike Trout-esque. If he could somehow, some way do that for an entire season he would be a surefire MVP candidate and the Twins might be looking at another playoff berth.

The season is getting close and I can’t wait to see what these guys do. We’re several months away, but just talking about this stuff gets me hyped for the season.

2018 National League MVP Betting Odds

Last season’s National League MVP now plays for the Yankees so this year’s race feels pretty wide open. The contenders are obvious as the top three teams in the National League are far better than the rest of the league. That doesn’t mean that someone from there will, it just makes it more likely.

The preseason MLB MVP futures are up at 5Dimes and today we’re taking a look at them. Let’s take a look at who they think the favorites are.

National League MVP Odds
Bryce Harper  +300
Kris Bryant  +400
Nolan Arenado  +500
Paul Goldschmidt  +800
Joey Votto  +800
Cody Bellinger  +800
Anthony Rizzo  +1200
Corey Seager  +1800
Freddie Freeman  +2000
Charlie Blackmon  +2500
Clayton Kershaw  +2500
Yoenis Cespedes  +3000
Anthony Rendon  +3000
Max Scherzer  +3000
Marcell Ozuna  +4000
Justin Turner  +4000
Eric Hosmer  +5000
Rhys Hoskins  +6000
Daniel Murphy  +8000
Trea Turner  +8000
Jake Lamb  +10000
Evan Longoria  +10000
Jay Bruce  +10000
Ryan Zimmerman  +10000
Kyle Schwarber  +10000
Wil Myers  +10000
Josh Bell  +10000
Buster Posey  +10000
Yasiel Puig  +10000
Matt Carpenter  +20000
Chris Taylor  +20000
Domingo Santana  +20000
Adam Duvall  +20000
Christian Yelich  +20000
Carlos Santana  +20000
Andrew McCutchen  +20000
Eric Thames  +30000
Brandon Belt  +30000
Willson Contreras  +30000
Trevor Story  +30000
Eugenio Suarez  +30000
Paul DeJong  +30000
Todd Frazier  +50000
Starlin Castro  +50000
Justin Bour  +50000


The favorites are Bryce Harper and Kris Bryant because of course they are. These are two of the best hitters in the game right now and their teams should almost definitely be in the playoffs this season.

For Bryant, while Anthony Rizzo is quite good he’s not quite that elite level that Bryant is. Plus, it feels like there is still a chance that he could level up and put up an outstanding season. He’s still young and the Cubs are here to stay.

Harper is Harper. He might never touch that magical 2015 season that he had, but he’s never going to bad and he’s going to be the best hitter on the Nationals. A team that should easily win the National League East. They are going to win 90+ games, he’s going to hit 30+ homeruns and he’ll get consideration.

I’m a bit more interested in the Dodgers’ hitters Corey Seager (+1800) and Cody Bellinger (+800). This is likely to be one of the best teams in the NL and there offense is more good across the board than great. That makes Seager and Bellinger likely to stand out. They are both still young with room for improvement. Either one of them is a good value, in my opinion.

For a sleeper, how about Christian Yelich? He’s going to see a huge boost to his stats from moving from Miami’s cavernous park to the Brewers homer friendly park. He’s been worth 4.5 WAR in each of the past two seasons and at only 26 he could make a leap this year.

The only other guy I’d consider here is probably Joey Votto at +800. He’s the best hitter in the NL, he just is. He always is near the top of every leader board, but his team is bad and it’s never quite enough to overcome it. He had a good argument last year, but Stanton’s huge homer numbers outshone him. Well, Stanton’s gone now. Why not Votto?