July 19th, 2019 MLB Betting Tips

1-0 on Wednesday, 1-0 yesterday at SportsBettingTips.org. A nice turnaround from early in the week. 17-10 this month. 103-63 on the season.

This is a weird schedule tonight with four games of lines of -240 or higher. Some really lopsided match-ups heading into the weekend. Despite that, we have a couple of nice tips today.

Let’s get into them.

Note: All tips based on the starters mentioned at the time of this writing. If there is a late switch or the starter is wrong, please consider the tip null and void.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Tips:

 TeamNameFIP-
AWAYPhilliesJake Arrieta112
HOMEPiratesJordan Lyles102

Jake Arrieta is really struggling this year with an FIP over 5. He has a road line of 4.81 ERA/5.18 FIP with homeruns being an issue. He is just not the pitcher he was a couple of years ago and this Pirates offense has been good against right handed pitchers with a 103 wRC+.

The Pirates will send Jordan Lyles to the mound here and he’s probably due for some regression. He has a 5.16 ERA/4.44 FIP on the season. That isn’t the prettiest, but he is at home here and the Phils are a below average team against righties with a 92 wRC+.

Bet Pirates -110

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Oakland Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins Betting Tips:

 TeamNameFIP-
AWAYAthleticsChris Bassitt98
HOMETwinsJake Odorizzi81

How do you not just bet the Twins every night? This team has been so good this season and tonight is another great match-up for them.

Jake Odorizzi has been great for the Twins this season and his home numbers are great. He has a 2.27 ERA/3.51 FIP in his home starts and he has some huge strikeout numbers there. While the Athletics offense is good and can get him to regress a little bit, the Twins offense is far more dangerous.

The Athletics send Chris Bassitt and he has a 4.43 ERA/4.88 FIP on the road this season. He has some nice strikeout numbers, but is carrying just a .250 BABIP. That won’t last and this Twins offense is exactly the kind that can make him regress. They have a 111 wRC+ on the season and have been even hotter than that over the past two weeks. The Twins look like a great play again here today.

Bet Twins -126

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