An 0-1 record last night.
The Angels did not show up whatsoever in their game against the Cubs yesterday. We were betting on Jon Lester‘s struggles continuing, but the home field was nice to him and he grabbed the win.
We took the Astros over the Mariners, which won, but the Mariners ended up doing a pitching change that voided the play as Wade LeBlanc did not start the game. For those of you that stuck with it, congratulations.
I added a little box to show the probable pitchers so that everyone knows who exactly we are betting on to start. Starters are key.
Three games that the Bet MLB System likes today, let’s take a look at them.
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Note: All tips based on the starters mentioned at the time of this writing. If there is a late switch or the starter is wrong, please consider the tip null and void.
San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets Betting Tips:
Noah Syndergaard is due for regression with a 4.90 ERA/3.62 FIP. He’s been much better than his ERA and he should be able to get it lower against this Giants offense. The Giants have a .675 OPS/80 wRC+ against righties on the season and I’m loving the Mets here.
The Mets have been one of the best teams in the league against left-handed pitchers at the plate. They have a .778 OPS/110 wRC+ against lefties on the season and there is no reason to think they won’t hit Madison Bumgarner here. He has a 4.01 ERA/3.59 FIP on the year and like most pitchers, he is slightly worse on the road.
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips:
The Cards send Genesis Cabrera to the mound who did not look good in his first start. Considering he had a 6.35 ERA/6.86 FIP in Triple-A this season, that should be no surprise. The Reds offense is really heating up with a 120 wRC+ over the past two weeks. I’m honestly surprised to see this line so low and the Reds are an outstanding play today.
I’ve touted the success of the Reds bullpen this year and they’ve remained one of the better bullpens in the game. They start their best starter tonight in Luis Castillo and it’s going to be really hard for the Cardinals to score runs today. Castillo has a 2.45 ERA/3.31 FIP with big strikeouts and he’s done a great job of limiting the longball. The Cardinals offense is good, but they have their work cut out for them today.
Oakland Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels Betting Tips:
The Angels have had a rough road as they had a big loss yesterday in Chicago and had to travel to Oakland for another game tonight. This team hasn’t been off in a while and I can see their struggles continuing here.
The Athletics will send Frankie Montas who has been very good this season with a 2.81 ERA/2.87 FIP with a good job keeping the ball in the park. The bullpen behind him is fantastic and I think runs will be hard to come by for the Angels here.
Griffin Canning has been riding a low BABIP and high LOB% to a 3.06 ERA/4.38 FIP. He is due for some regression and the Athletics are a good option to do that to him as they have really been heating up of late.
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