A 2-1 record last night. 74-48 on the season.
A potentially great night last night ruined by the Mets bullpen. We took the Mets over the Giants, but they fell behind early. The Mets had a 3-2 lead when Noah Syndergaard left with a runner on. The bullpen gave up that run to tie the game and it ended up in extra innings. The bullpen then gave up five runs in the tenth to make this game unwinnable. Bad.
We also took the Reds over the Cardinals on the basis of Luis Castillo and the strong bullpen. That turned out to be a good decision as the Cards managed just one run and the Reds won 4-1. The Reds pitching might just turn this into a winning team which is crazy considering where they’ve been the last couple of seasons.
Our final win of the night was the Athletics over the Angels. Griffin Canning was looking very hittable for this Athletics team and they put up four runs on him. Frankie Montas put out a good start for the win.
We’re back with three more picks today. Let’s take a look at what the Bet MLB System has for us today.
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Note: All tips based on the starters mentioned at the time of this writing. If there is a late switch or the starter is wrong, please consider the tip null and void.
San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets Betting Tips:
I don’t feel regret going back to the Mets after last night, but it’s hard to imagine another meltdown at that level. The Mets send Jason Vargas to the mound. He’s not the typical guy we go with as he has a 4.46 ERA/4.91 FIP, but he is left-handed and the Giants are horrible against lefties. They have just a .631 OPS/68 wRC+ against lefties and I expect him to improve his numbers here.
Tyler Beede has only appeared in four games this year and posted a 7.82 ERA/5.60 FIP. That ERA is way off, but the projections see him right near that FIP. He’s not a good starter. The Mets are a decent hitting team against righties and they look like a solid play today.
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians Betting Tips:
Speaking of teams that are bad against lefties, the Indians hit for just a .673 OPS/77 wRC+ against southpaws. Martin Perez is probably not this good, but he has a 3.71 ERA/3.71 FIP on the season with decent strikeout numbers. That Indians offense is just not good and hard to back.
The Twins, on the other hand, are really easy to back. Their offense is amazing. Carlos Carrasco has been one of the better pitchers in the game, but this year has not been kind to him. He’s giving up 1.94 HR/9 and has a 4.98 ERA/4.07 FIP on the season. I am not afraid of him here and think the Twins are a great play.
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Tips:
I don’t typically like to lay the runs unless I am getting a good number on it, but I am just so sure of this one that I can’t help myself.
Jimmy Nelson is the Brewers ace and he makes his long-awaited return to the team here. You couldn’t ask for a better match-up than the Marlins who are one of the worst offenses in the league.
The Marlins won big against this team last night and I see the Brewers bouncing back strong. Sandy Alcantara goes for the Marlins and he has a 4.08 ERA/4.68 FIP with low strikeouts and high walks. The offense should have something to prove and I think the team will be rejuvenated by the return of Nelson.
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