May 1st, 2019 MLB Betting Tips

An 0-1 record last night.

I hate the Rockies. I honestly should’ve known better as this team just can’t hit. I also wasn’t a big fan of them keeping German Marquez in late. He was cruising through six innings with just one run allowed when the team sent him out for the eighth. The Brewers added three there and took a 4-0 lead into the ninth. There was some excitement as the Brewers bullpen nearly coughed this one up, but Milwaukee held on.

The way things are in baseball now I feel it is a much bigger risk to leave a starter in there for the third time through the order than ever before. We’ve seen it time and time again, and will continue to do so until managers learn their lesson and start shortening that leash.

A travel day today with some early games so I’m putting this one up super early. Let’s start May off strong.

Note: All tips based on the starters mentioned at the time of this writing. If there is a late switch or the starter is wrong, please consider the tip null and void.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangers Betting Tips:

Jameson Taillon has had a weird start ot the season. His peripherals are strong with a great groundball rate, but his left on base percentage is a very fluky 50%. He’s posted a 4.06 ERA/3.12 FIP and is due for some regression here. The Rangers offense is tough, but I like Taillon here and the bullpen has been very good thus far this season.

Shelby Miller, not so much. He’s not good. No strikeouts, lots of walks, and susceptible to the homerun. He has a 7.52 ERA/7.65 FIP and the bullpen behind him is nothing special. I think the Pirates hit him here as everyone else has and the Pirates roll.

Bet Pirates -131

Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Tips:

Chase Anderson isn’t my favorite pitcher, but you know what? The Rockies are the worst offense in the league.

The Brewers are hitting really well at home this season and I am willing to ride that here. Antonio Senzatela has really low strikeout numbers and is a 4.5-ish ERA guy. You know what to do here.

Bet Brewers -133

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels Betting Tips:

Marcus Stroman has been great to start the season with a 1.43 ERA/2.33 FIP. He’s forced the groundball a ton which plays well with this Angels offense that strikes out less than anyone else in the league.

They go against Felix Pena who has been luckier than good this season with a 3.63 ERA/4.82 FIP. He’s benefited from a low BABIP this year and I think the new and improved Jays offense with Vlad Guerrero Jr. and Eric Sogard (?) can do some damage here.

Bet Blue Jays -110

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