An 0-2 record last night. 11-4 in playoffs.
A lot of people are going crazy for the Brewers right now and their bullpen, but I think they are underrating just how poorly the Rockies played in this one. It will be a different story for them in the next round. I honestly should’ve known better with the Rockies offense and the over. I am glad to have them out of the playoffs.
Unlike Colorado, the Braves showed signs of life in their 6-5 win. They got to Walker Buehler early and were able to hang on and win it. Nice win, I still think they are in over their heads with the Dodgers.
Three games today and an early start. Let’s get right into it.
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Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Indians Betting Tips:
For a lot of teams (even teams in the playoffs), Mike Clevinger and Dallas Keuchel would be the top starters. For these two teams, they are the third starters and the only real hope for seeing some run scoring.
Clevinger had a great season with a 3.02 ERA/3.52 FIP, but he allowed 8 runs in 11.2 innings of starts against the Astros this year. Astros have hit him and they can again today. Keuchel isn’t a big strikeout guy and relies on contact outs for the most part. That might not be a good plan at this park with this hungry offense.
The system sees this total at basically exactly 8.5 before you throw in park factor. ESPN’s 2018 Park Factors show this as the fourth best stadium for run scoring. Going to have to take the over on this one.
| Bet Astros/Indians Over 8.5 Runs|
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Tips:
Mike Foltynewicz pitched two innings in game one of this series, allowing four run on three hits and three walks. So, naturally, the Braves are going back to him here.
The Dodgers will send Rich Hill to the mound and I’m feeling pretty good about him here. He had a great second half as he boosted his strikeouts to over 11 K/9 and had a 3.03 ERA/3.28 FIP. The LA bullpen has allowed just one run in this series (the game winning Freddie Freeman homerun in game three) and have looked great.
I really thought this was going to be a sweep. I’m happy for Braves fans that it wasn’t, but the rules haven’t changed. The Dodgers are still better in every facet of the game and they just owned Foltynewicz a few days ago. I think they do it again.